Mention artificial intelligence—what’s
the first thing that springs to mind? It’s hard to not think about films like
2014’s Ex-Machina or 1982’s Blade Runner. Humanoids aplenty.
AI and machine
learning, for us folks in the travel industry, can mean several things, but in
2023 most of our energy will focus on the simplification of the booking process
and operational efficiencies, not the humanoid fever dreams. But we’ll have to
be open to the opportunities—and, if we are, we may be able to realize benefits
more quickly than we thought possible.
PhD degrees in artificial
intelligence and machine learning are at record highs, according to the 2021
Stanford AI Index, as are business and research investments. In 2021, such
investments hit $93.5 billion—more than double the total private investment in
2020 and the greatest year-over-year increase since 2014.
With that kind of
investment, AI sophistication and computational ability are also moving fast. The
2019 Stanford AI Index, which was produced in partnership with McKinsey &
Company, Google, PwC, OpenAI, Genpact and AI21Labs, noted that post-2012, the
speed of AI computational abiltiy has been doubling every 3.4 months. Other
research teams have estimated that rate at about 6 months. Regardless, it’s
significantly faster than what has been measured in the past for traditional
computational advancement (you can read about AI and Moore’s Law here in this Discover Magazine article). The upshot is that AI is moving fast—and
sometimes faster than we can really understand.
The Pace of Change
for AI in the Business Travel Industry
What hasn’t moved fast
is AI applications in business travel. AI seems like the logical choice
when talking about improving efficiencies and processes for businesses.
Is it the fear of
change? I’m sure the upheaval of legacy technologies and subsequent
implementation of AI has a role to play. Or, how about the human versus machine
debate? Probably a bit of everything, if we’re being honest.
There’s also the
associated costs and perceived complexities around data availability that can
also go against ‘Team AI.’ Travel demand cratered during the pandemic, which
posed huge challenges for travel companies that were already looking to
integrate machine learning—and some were.
It’s true that machine
learning requires large amounts of data in order to do it’s thing, and without
pre-pandemic volumes to hand, the travel companies already in process with ML
struggled to develop and scale. Those that hadn’t started struggled to embrace
the idea. As we turn the corner on travel volume—and, therefore, travel data—in
2023, that barrier to embracing AI fully should be swept away.
So how should we
prioritize in terms of developing new capabilities and modernizing our service
providers for the future? Afterall, we’re an industry built on human
interaction—not humanoid interactions. Or… are we?
A Blended Approach:
The Human(oid) Touch?
Think of what we could do if the bedrock of the
industry—our people—was underpinned by tech innovations beyond what we thought
was possible. Where’s the ceiling in that scenario for TMCs or other travel
providers in terms of service, growth and efficiencies? Let’s look at some
places where we might see AI progress in 2023:
Travel
booking – Chatbots and other automated systems can handle a wide range of tasks that
include searching for flights and hotels, making reservations and even
negotiating prices. This can save time and effort for both the traveler and the
TMC, freeing up resources to focus on more value-added activities that undeniably
require that human touch.
Itinerary
management – By analysing past travel patterns and preferences, AI systems can help
travelers plan their trips more efficiently, suggesting the most convenient
flights and hotels, and even making recommendations for activities and
restaurants. True personalization seems to be somewhat of a holy grail for
passengers today—and rightly so.
Internal
TMC operations – There are plenty of opportunities here, but one example would be machine
learning algorithms analyzing data on past trips to identify patterns and
trends used to forecast demand and optimize capacity. This could help agencies
save money by avoiding overbooking and improving efficient use of assets.
By
automating routine tasks and providing insights and recommendations, these
technologies can help make the business travel process more convenient and
seamless, while freeing up our people to add that personal touch.
I challenge the industry to consider the
positive impact AI could have across our shared workforce, and how it could
work in support of that workforce in 2023. AI is moving at pace across a
multitude of industries. Travel has some catching up to do, but we could move
faster than we think.